← Pikku Play Store championship
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at Pikku Play Store championship
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1460
· median 1460
· range 1460–1460
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1236
Q3 1442
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
